Monday, February 16, 2026

cascading conjectures

 
"Detective paintings"  |  Saatchi Art


Off and on, I've been listening to reports about the investigation into the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie, in and around Tucson, Arizona.

        The story gets a lot of attention in the media because of the "celebrity element" - Mrs. Guthrie is the mother of Savannah Guthrie, who is a television personality.


        One commentator, a retired FBI agent, said because the search has gone on for so long (since the first of this month) conjecture runs rampant - people want to know what happened, and there haven't been answers yet, and so they come up with theories - scenarios, conjectures. ...

These ideas get typed into social media, and now it's sort of a worldwide mystery.

The FBI guy said we have "cascading conjectures."


Cascading is kind of a great word.  I like it.


        A podcast host suggested that investigators contact Walmart stores in the area and find out who purchased 

a backpack,

a burner phone,

and a ski mask.


-30-

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