Wednesday, September 30, 2020

early of a Saturday morning

 














CUT TO:


THE ENORMOUS FIFTH FLOOR OF THE WASHINGTON POST.


It looks, early of a Saturday morning, pretty deserted.  Those reporters that are around are young, bright, and presently involved in nothing more taxing than drinking coffee and thumbing through the papers.


HARRY ROSENFELD surveys the scene from his office doorway as WOODWARD approaches, hangs his coat at his desk, not far from where ROSENFELD is standing.


ROSENFELD

Where's that cheery face we've come to know and love?


WOODWARD

You call me in on my day off because some idiots have broken into local Democratic Headquarters--tell me, Harry, why should I be smiling?


ROSENFELD

As usual, that keen mind of yours has pegged the situation perfectly.  Except (a) it wasn't local Democratic Headquarters, it was National Democratic Headquarters--

(WOODWARD is surprised--he hadn't known)


--and (b) these weren't just any idiots, seeing as when they were arrested at 2:30 this morning, they were all wearing business suits and Playtex gloves and were carrying--

(consults a piece of paper)

--a walkie-talkie, forty rolls of film, cameras, lock picks, pen-sized tear gas guns, plus various bugging devices.


(puts paper down)

Not to mention over two thousand dollars, mostly in sequenced hundred dollar bills.


_____________________________________

{"ALL THE PRESIDENT'S MEN"

Screenplay by William Goldman

Pre-rehearsal version March, 1975}

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September, 2020


a headline in The Atlantic


Trump Secretly Mocks His Christian Supporters



some headlines in today's New York Times


With Cross Talk, Lies and Mockery, Trump Tramples Decorum in Debate With Biden


Trump Allies Say the Virus Has Almost Run Its Course.  'Nonsense,' Experts Say.


Nearly 100,000 Defective Absentee Ballots Sent to N.Y.C. Voters


Pandemic Convinces Airline Workers It's Time for New Horizons


Disney Lays Off 28,000, mostly at Its 2 U.S. Theme Parks


____________________________

_________________________


"The Election That Could Break America"

written by Barton Gellman

The Atlantic

(continued)


...According to the plaintiffs, they stopped and questioned voters in minority neighborhoods, blocked voters from entering the polls, forcibly restrained poll workers, challenged people's eligibility to vote, warned of criminal charges for casting an illegal ballot, and generally did their best to frighten voters away from the polls....


     This year, with a judge no longer watching, the Republicans are recruiting 50,000 volunteers in 15 contested states to monitor polling places and challenge voters they deem suspicious-looking.  Trump called in to Fox News on August 20 to tell Sean Hannity, "We're going to have sheriffs and we're going to have law enforcement and we're going to have, hopefully, U.S. attorneys" to keep close watch on the polls.  For the first time in decades, according to Clark, Republicans are free to combat voter fraud in "places that are run by Democrats."


     Voter fraud is a fictitious threat to the outcome of elections, a pretext that Republicans use to thwart or discard the ballots of likely opponents.  An authoritative report by the Brennan Center for Justice, a nonpartisan think tank, calculated the rate of voter fraud in three elections at between 0.0003 percent and 0.0025 percent.  


Another investigation, from Justin Levitt at Loyola Law School, turned up 31 credible allegations of voter impersonation out of more than 1 billion votes cast in the United States from 2000 to 2014.  Judges in voting rights cases have made comparable findings of fact.



     Nonetheless, Republicans and their allies have litigated scores of cases in the name of preventing fraud in this year's election.  State by state, they have sought--with some success--to purge voter rolls, tighten rules on provisional votes, uphold voter-identification requirements, ban the use of ballot drop boxes, reduce eligibility to vote by mail, discard mail-in ballots with technical flaws, and outlaw the counting of ballots that are postmarked by Election Day but arrive afterward.  

     The intent and effect is to throw away votes in large numbers.



These legal maneuvers are drawn from an old Republican playbook.  What's different during this cycle, aside from the ferocity of the efforts, is the focus on voting by mail.  The president has mounted a relentless assault on postal balloting at the exact moment when the coronavirus pandemic is driving tens of millions of voters to embrace it.


     

This year's presidential election will see voting by mail on a scale unlike any before--some states are anticipating a tenfold increase in postal balloting.  A 50-state survey by The Washington Post found that 198 million eligible voters, or at least 84 percent, will have the option to vote by mail. 


Trump has denounced mail-in voting often and urgently, airing fantastical nightmares.  One day he tweeted, "MAIL-IN VOTING WILL LEAD TO MASSIVE FRAUD AND ABUSE.  IT WILL ALSO LEAD TO THE END OF OUR GREAT REPUBLICAN PARTY.  WE CAN NEVER LET THIS TRAGEDY BEFALL OUR NATION."  

Another day he pointed to an imaginary--and easily debunked--scenario of forgery from abroad:  "RIGGED 2020 ELECTION:  MILLIONS OF MAIL-IN BALLOTS WILL BE PRINTED BY FOREIGN COUNTRIES, AND OTHERS.  IT WILL BE THE SCANDAL OF OUR TIMES!"


By late summer Trump was declaiming against mail-in voting an average of nearly four times a day--a pace he had reserved in the past for existential dangers such as impeachment and the Mueller investigation:  "Very dangerous for our country."  "A catastrophe."  "The greatest rigged election in history."



Summer also brought reports that the U.S. Postal Service, the government's most popular agency, was besieged from within by Louis DeJoy, Trump's new postmaster general and a major Republican donor.  Service cuts, upper-management restructuring, and chaotic operational changes were producing long delays....


In the name of efficiency, the Postal Service began decommissioning 10 percent of its mail-sorting machines.  Then came word that the service would no longer treat ballots as first-class mail unless some states nearly tripled the postage they paid, from 20 to 55 cents an envelope.  DeJoy denied any intent to slow down voting by mail, and the Postal Service withdrew the plan under fire from critics.


If there were doubts about where Trump stood on these changes, he resolved them at an August 12 news conference.  Democrats were negotiating for a $25 billion increase in postal funding and an additional $3.6 billion in election assistance to states.  

     "They don't have the money to do the universal mail-in voting.  So therefore, they can't do it, I guess," Trump said.  "It's very simple.  How are they going to do it if they don't have the money to do it?"


What are we to make of all this?

     In part, Trump's hostility to voting by mail is a reflection of his belief that more voting is bad for him in general.  Democrats, he said on Fox & Friends at the end of March, want "levels of voting that, if you ever agreed to it, you'd never have a Republican elected in this country again."


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-30-

Monday, September 28, 2020

the mouth but not the muscle

 





American voters:  President Nixon had some problems.


Donald Trump:  Hold my beer.


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some of the headlines in today's New York Times


How Fox News Covered the Trump Tax Story on Monday


Even as Americans Grew Richer, Inequality Persisted


End the Filibuster?  Pack the Court?  The Left is Pushing Biden


Trump's Taxes Show Chronic Losses and Years of Income Tax Avoidance


Ransomware Attacks Take on New Urgency Ahead of Vote

     Attacks against small towns, big cities and the contractors who run their voting systems have federal officials fearing that hackers will try to sow chaos around the election.


Voters Believe Winner of Election Should Fill Court Vacancy, Poll Shows


Some Workers Face Looming Cutoffs in Health Insurance


As Covid-19 Closes Schools, the World's Children Go to Work

     Former students are taking illegal and often dangerous jobs in India and other developing countries, potentially rolling back years of progress in social mobility and public health.


____________________________

____________________________


"The Election That Could Break America"

written by Barton Gellman

The Atlantic

(continued)


...Speaking as a man with unexpended ammunition, Gore laid down his arms.  "I accept the finality of this outcome, which will be ratified next Monday in the Electoral College," he said.  "And tonight, for the sake of our unity as a people and the strength of our democracy, I offer my concession."


We have no precedent or procedure to end this election if Biden seems to carry the Electoral College but Trump refuses to concede.  We will have to invent one.


Trump is, by some measures, a weak authoritarian.  He has the mouth but not the muscle to work his will with assurance.  Trump denounced Special Counsel Robert Mueller but couldn't fire him.  He accused his foes of treason but couldn't jail them.  He has bent the bureaucracy and flouted the law but not broken free altogether of their restraints.


A proper despot would not risk the inconvenience of losing an election.  He would fix his victory in advance, avoiding the need to overturn an incorrect outcome.  Trump cannot do that.

     But he's not powerless to skew the proceedings -- first on Election Day and then during the Interregnum.  He could disrupt the vote count where it's going badly, and if that does not work, try to bypass it altogether.  On Election Day, Trump and his allies can begin by suppressing the Biden vote.



There is no truth to be found in dancing around this point, either:  Trump does not want Black people to vote.  (He said as much in 2017 -- on Martin Luther King Day, no less -- to a voting-rights group co-founded by King, according to a recording leaked to Politico.)  He does not want young people or poor people to vote.  He believes, with reason, that he is less likely to win reelection if turnout is high at the polls.  

     This is not a "both sides" phenomenon.  

     In present-day politics, we have one party that consistently seeks advantage in depriving the other party's adherents of the right to vote.


Just under a year ago, Justin Clark gave a closed-door talk in Wisconsin to a select audience of Republican lawyers.  He thought he was speaking privately, but someone had brought a recording device.  He had a lot to say about Election Day operations, or "EDO."


At the time, Clark was a senior lieutenant with Trump's reelection campaign; in July, he was promoted to deputy campaign manager.  "Wisconsin's the state that is going to tip this one way or the other ... So it makes EDO really, really, really important," he said.  He put the mission bluntly:  "Traditionally it's always been Republicans suppressing votes ... [Democrats'] voters are all in one part of the state, so let's start playing offense a little bit.  And that's what you're going to see in 2020.  That's what's going to be markedly different.  

     It's going to be a much bigger program, a much more aggressive program, a much better-funded program, and we're going to need all the help we can get."  (Clark later claimed that his remarks had been misconstrued, but his explanation made no sense in context.)


Of all the favorable signs for Trump's Election Day operations, Clark explained, "first and foremost is the consent decree's gone."  He was referring to a court order forbidding Republican operatives from using any of a long list of voter-purging and intimidation techniques.  The expiration of that order was a "huge, huge, huge, huge deal," Clark said.


His audience of lawyers knew what he meant.  The 2020 presidential election will be the first in 40 years to take place without a federal judge requiring the Republican National Committee to seek approval in advance for any "ballot security" operations at the polls.  In 2018, a federal  judge allowed the consent decree to expire, ruling that the plaintiffs had no proof of recent violations by Republicans.  The consent decree, by this logic, was not needed, because it worked.



The order had its origins in the New Jersey gubernatorial election of 1981.  According to the district court's opinion in Democratic National Committee v. Republican National Committee, the RNC allegedly tried to intimidate voters by hiring off-duty law-enforcement officers as members of a "National Ballot Security Task Force," some of them armed and carrying two-way radios.  


According to the plaintiffs, they stopped and questioned voters in minority neighborhoods, blocked voters from entering the polls, forcibly restrained poll workers, challenged people's eligibility to vote, warned of criminal charges for casting an illegal ballot, and generally did their best to frighten voters away from the polls.  The power of these methods relied on well-founded fears among people of color about contact with police.


-30-

Sunday, September 27, 2020

even my voice was strong, then

 



     I love the Tina Turner documentary titled The Girl From Nutbush, now on You Tube.  It sets my interest ablaze.


     Both Ike and Tina Turner have this distinctive speaking style -- they talk kind of fast, and enthusiastic with punchy, staccato emphasis.


     In the film, when Tina describes the beginning of her singing career in a St. Louis nightclub, she tells the interviewer about audience reaction to her performance.  She's speaking quickly, very articulate, but in one spot the words get turned around -- it's so cute, she says, rapidly and shyly, "...because even my voice was strong, then."

     What she meant was, "my voice was strong, even then."  Or -- "even back then, my voice was strong."


     You totally know what she means.  "Even my voice was strong then."  That phrase has always stuck with me.


________________________________

__________________________

some headlines from today's New York Times


In Lockdown, an 86-Year-Old Blogger Finds an Audience and a New Purpose


China Gives Unproven Covid-19 Vaccines to Thousands, With Risks Unknown


The Virus Sent Droves to a Small Town.  Suddenly, It's Not So Small.


Trump Announces Barrett as Supreme Court Nominee, Describing Her as Heir to Scalia


_____________________________

___________________________


"The Election That Could Break America"

written by Barton Gellman

The Atlantic

(continued)


..."I would like to promise and pledge...that I will totally accept the results of this great and historic presidential election....


IF

I

WIN!"


------------- The question is not strictly hypothetical.  Trump's respect for the ballot box has already been tested.  In 2016, with the presidency in hand, having won the Electoral College, Trump baldly rejected the certified tallies that showed he had lost the popular vote by a margin of 2,868,692.  He claimed, baselessly but not coincidentally, that at least 3 million undocumented immigrants had cast fraudulent votes for Hillary Clinton.


All of which is to say that there is no version of the Interregnum in which Trump congratulates Biden on his victory.  He has told us so.  "The only way they can take this election away from us is if this is a rigged election," Trump said at the Republican National Convention on August 24.  

     Unless he wins a bona fide victory in the Electoral College, Trump's refusal to concede -- his mere denial of defeat--will have cascading effects.



The ritual that marks an election's end took its contemporary form in 1896.  On the Thursday evening after polls closed that year, unwelcome news reached the Democratic presidential nominee, William Jennings Bryan.  A dispatch from Senator James K. Jones, the chair of the Democratic National Committee, informed him that "sufficient was known to make my defeat certain," Bryan recalled in a memoir.


He composed a telegram to his Republican opponent, William McKinley.  "Senator Jones has just informed me that the returns indicate your election, and I hasten to extend my congratulations," Bryan wrote.  "We have submitted the issue to the American people and their will is law."

     After Bryan, concession became a civic duty, performed by telegram or telephone call and then by public speech.  Al Smith brought the concession speech to radio in 1928, and it migrated to television soon afterward.


Like other rituals, concessions developed a liturgy.  The defeated candidate comes out first.  He thanks supporters, declares that their cause will live on, and acknowledges that the other side has prevailed.  The victor begins his own remarks by honoring the surrender.

     Concessions employ a form of words that linguists call performative speech.  The words do not describe or announce an act; the words themselves are the act.  "The concession speech, then, is not merely a report of an election result or an admission of defeat," the political scientist Paul E. Corcoran has written.  "It is a constitutive enactment of the new president's authority."



In actual war, not the political kind, concession is optional.  The winning side may take by force what the losing side refuses to surrender.  If the weaker party will not sue for peace, its ramparts may be breached, its headquarters razed, and its leaders taken captive or put to death.  There are places in the world where political combat still ends that way, but not here.  The loser's concession is therefore hard to replace.


Consider the 2000 election, which may appear at first glance to demonstrate otherwise.  Al Gore conceded to George W. Bush on Election Night, then withdrew his concession and fought a recount battle in Florida until the Supreme Court shut it down.  It is commonly said that the Court's 5-4 ruling decided the contest, but that's not quite right.


The Court handed down its ruling in Bush v. Gore on December 12, six days before the Electoral College would convene and weeks before Congress would certify the results.  Even with canvassing halted in Florida, Gore had the constitutional means to fight on, and some advisers urged him to do so.  If he had brought the dispute to Congress, he would have held high ground as the Senate's presiding officer.


     Not until Gore addressed the nation on December 13, the day after the Court's decision, did the contest truly end.  Speaking as a man with unexpended ammunition, Gore laid down his arms.  "I accept the finality of this outcome, which will be ratified next Monday in the Electoral College," he said.  "And tonight, for the sake of our unity as a people and the strength of our democracy, I offer my concession."


-30-

Friday, September 25, 2020

put this record out!

 


newspaperman Harold Evans


----------------------------------------------------

Something that makes me really happy is the fact that my favorite documentary about Tina Turner is now on You Tube.


I don't think it's on DVD, so I had believed I might not see it ever again...


     You just type in, "The Girl From Nutbush" -- it's an hour and a half.  (There are some clips on there that say, Part 2 or part 3, but we don't have to watch it in different parts, the complete video is there, it says "1:29:46.")


In this film Ike Turner talks about "Fool In Love" -- he had some guy who was going to record the song but he did not show up -- a "no-call, no show" so to speak; as long as Ike was paying for recording-studio time, he had Tina record the song.  

     He was planning to then later find the original intended singer and record him over her vocals.


But everyone who listened to the demo said, "Man, that's great.  Put it out!  Put it out!"


So they put it out and, Ike says, "Damn thing was a hit!"


He adds, "That's why she's straining so, on that record, hollerin' like that? -- 'cause I had it in the key that he would sing it in."


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some of today's New York Times headlines


Trump Again Sows Doubt About Election as G.O.P. Scrambles to Assure Voters

     President Trump declined for a second day to commit to a peaceful transfer of power if he lost the election, while Republicans, including Mitch McConnell, implicitly rebuffed him, promising an "orderly transition."


Battles Over Voting Rules Fuel Concern About Postelection Fights


Louisville's Police Force Feels Besieged on Two Fronts

     Officers say that city and police officials were slow to release crucial details in the Breonna Taylor case.  Protesters are fed up with what they consider abusive tactics.  Calm seems a long way off.


Ocean Heat Waves Are Directly Linked to Climate Change


Young Women Take a Frontline Role in Thailand's Protests


Harold Evans Dies at 92; Crusading Newspaperman With a Second Act


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___________________________


"The Election That Could Break America"

written by Barton Gellman

The Atlantic

(continued)


...Donald Trump may win or lose, but he will never concede....  If compelled in the end to vacate his office, Trump will insist from exile, as long as he draws breath, that the contest was rigged.


Trump's invincible commitment to this stance will be the most important fact about the coming Interregnum.


It will deform the proceedings from beginning to end.


We have not experienced anything like it before.



-------------- Maybe you hesitate.  Is it a fact that if Trump loses, he will reject defeat, come what may?  Do we know that?  Technically, you feel obliged to point out, the proposition is framed in the future conditional, and prophecy is no man's gift, and so forth.  With all due respect, that is pettifoggery.  


We know this man.  


We cannot afford to pretend.



Trump's behavior and declared intent leave no room to suppose that he will accept the public's verdict if the vote is going against him.  He lies prodigiously -- to manipulate events, to secure advantage, to dodge accountability, and to ward off injury to his pride.  An election produces the perfect distillate of all those motives.


Pathology may exert the strongest influence on Trump's choices during the Interregnum.  Well-supported arguments, some of them in this magazine, have made the case that Trump fits the diagnostic criteria for psychopathy and narcissism.  Either disorder, by its medical definition, would render him all but incapable of accepting defeat.


Conventional commentary has trouble facing this issue squarely.  Journalists and opinion makers feel obliged to add disclaimers when asking "what if" Trump loses and refuses to concede.  "The scenarios all seem far-fetched," Politico wrote, quoting a source who compared them to science fiction.  


Former U.S. Attorney Barbara McQuade, writing in The Atlantic in February, could not bring herself to treat the risk as real:  "That a president would defy the results of an election has long been unthinkable; it is now, if not an actual possibility, at the very least something Trump's supporters joke about."



     But Trump's supporters aren't the only people who think extraconstitutional thoughts aloud.  Trump has been asked directly, during both this campaign and the last, whether he will respect the election results.  


He left his options brazenly open.  


"What I'm saying is that I will tell you at the time.  I'll keep you in suspense.  Okay?" he told moderator Chris Wallace in the third presidential debate of 2016.  Wallace took another crack at him in an interview for Fox News this past July.  "I have to see," Trump said.  "Look, you -- I have to see.  No, I'm not going to just say yes.  I'm not going to say no."



How will he decide when the time comes?  Trump has answered that, actually.  At a rally in Delaware, Ohio, in the closing days of the 2016 campaign, he began his performance with a signal of breaking news.  "Ladies and gentlemen, I want to make a major announcement today.  I would like to promise and pledge to all of my voters and supporters, and to all the people of the United States, that I will totally accept the results of this great and historic presidential election."  


He paused, then made three sharp thrusts of his forefinger to punctuate the next words:  "If ... I ... win!"  Only then did he stretch his lips in a simulacrum of a smile.


-30-

Thursday, September 24, 2020

why he treats you like he do

 



WHOOAAHH!!

There's something on my mind

Won't somebody please -- PLEASE! -- tell me what's wrong


You're just a fool, you know you're in love

You've got to face it, to live in this world

You take the good along with the bad

Sometimes you're happy, and sometimes you're sad

You know you love him, you can't understand

Why he treats you like he do, when he's such a good man


He's got me smilin' when I should be ashamed

Got  me laughin' when my heart is in pain

Oh -- no, I must be a fool

But I'll do anything he wants me to do


You're just a fool, you know you're in love

You've got to face it to live in this world...


_______________________________________

"A Fool in Love" - written by Ike Turner

------------- Several versions and performances of this song are on You Tube, pick some and Play Them.

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_______________________


New York Times headlines


Fired Officer Is Indicted in Breonna Taylor Case


Ginsburg Remembered as Champion of Justice as Struggle Continues Over Her Successor


White House Accused of improperly Politicizing Review of John Bolton's Book

     The account by a former National Security Council official also implied that the Justice Department may have told a court that the book contains classified information and opened a criminal investigation based on false pretenses.


Trump Won't Commit to 'Peaceful' Post-Election Transfer of Power


China's Pledge to Be Carbon Neutral by 2060:  What It Means


California Plans to Ban Sales of New Gas-Powered Cars in 15 Years

______________________________

______________________________

***********************


"The Election That Could Break America"

by Barton Gellman in The Atlantic

(continued)


...He could prevent the formation of consensus about whether there is any outcome at all.  He could seize on that uncertainty to hold on to power.


Trump's state and national legal teams are already laying the groundwork for postelection maneuvers that would circumvent the results of the vote count in battleground states.  Ambiguities in the Constitution and logic bombs in the Electoral Count Act make it possible to extend the dispute all the way to Inauguration Day, which would bring the nation to a precipice.  


     The Twentieth Amendment is crystal clear that the president's term in office "shall end" at noon on January 20, but two men could show up to be sworn in.  One of them would arrive with all the tools and power of the presidency already in hand.



"We are not prepared for this at all," Julian Zelizer, a Princeton professor of history and public affairs, told me.  "We talk about it, some worry about it, and we imagine what it would be.  But few people have actual answers to what happens if the machinery of democracy is used to prevent a legitimate resolution to the election."


Nineteen summers ago, when counterterrorism analysts warned of a coming attack by al-Qaeda, they could only guess at a date.  


This year, if election analysts are right, we know when the trouble is likely to come.  


Call it the Interregnum:  the interval from Election Day to the next president's swearing-in.  It is a temporal no-man's-land between the presidency of Donald Trump and an uncertain successor -- a second term for Trump or a first for Biden.  The transfer of power we usually take for granted has several intermediate steps, and they are fragile.



The Interregnum comprises 79 days, carefully bounded by law.  Among them are "the first Monday after the second Wednesday in December," this year December 14, when the electors meet in all 50 states and the District of Columbia to cast their ballots for president; "the 3d day of January," when the newly elected Congress is seated; and "the sixth day of January," when the House and Senate meet jointly for a formal count of the electoral vote.  


     In most modern elections these have been pro forma milestones, irrelevant to the outcome.  This year, they may not be.



"Our Constitution does not secure the peaceful transition of power, but rather presupposes it," the legal scholar Lawrence Douglas wrote in a recent book titled simply Will He Go?  

     The Interregnum we are about to enter will be accompanied by what Douglas, who teaches at Amherst, calls a "perfect storm" of adverse conditions.  We cannot turn away from that storm.  On November 3 we sail toward its center mass.  If we emerge without trauma, it will not be an unbreakable ship that has saved us.


Let us not hedge about one thing.  Donald Trump may win or lose, but he will never concede.  Not under any circumstance.  Not during the Interregnum and not afterward.  If compelled in the end to vacate his office, Trump will insist from exile, as long as he draws breath, that the contest was rigged.



Trump's invincible commitment to this stance will be the most important fact about the coming Interregnum.  It will deform the proceedings from beginning to end.  We have not experienced anything like it before.


-30-

Wednesday, September 23, 2020

something to think about

 



 


The Atlantic has this article written by Barton Gellman.


headline:  The election that could break America


sub-head:  (If the vote is close, Donald Trump could easily throw the election into chaos and subvert the result.  Who will stop him?)


______________________

There is a cohort of close observers of our presidential elections, scholars and lawyers and political strategists, who find themselves in the uneasy position of intelligence analysts in the months before 9/11.  As November 3 approaches, their screens are blinking red, alight with warnings that the political system does not know how to absorb.  They see the obvious signs that we all see, but they also know subtle things that most of us do not.  Something dangerous has hove into view, and the nation is lurching into its path.



The danger is not merely that the 2020 election will bring discord.  Those who fear something worse take turbulence and controversy for granted.  The coronavirus pandemic, a reckless incumbent, a deluge of mail-in ballots, a vandalized Postal Service, a resurgent effort to suppress votes, and a trainload of lawsuits are bearing down on the nation's creaky electoral machinery.



Something has to give, and many things will, when the time comes for casting, canvassing, and certifying the ballots.  Anything is possible, including a landslide that leaves no doubt on Election Night.  But even if one side takes a commanding early lead, tabulation and litigation of the "overtime count" -- millions of mail-in and provisional ballots -- could keep the outcome unsettled for days or weeks.



If we are lucky, this fraught and dysfunctional election cycle will reach a conventional stopping point in time to meet crucial deadlines in December and January.  The contest will be decided with sufficient authority that the losing candidate will be forced to yield.  Collectively we will have made our choice -- a messy one, no doubt, but clear enough to arm the president-elect with a mandate to govern.


As a nation, we have never failed to clear that bar.  But in this election year of plague and recession and catastrophized politics, the mechanisms of decision are at meaningful risk of breaking down.  Close students of election law and procedure are warning that conditions are ripe for a constitutional crisis that would leave the nation without an authoritative result.  We have no fail-safe against that calamity.  Thus the blinking red lights.



"We could well see a protracted postelection struggle in the courts and the streets if the results are close," says Richard L. Hasen, a professor at the UC Irvine School of Law and the author of a recent book called Election Meltdown.  "The kind of election meltdown we could see would be much worse than 2000's Bush v. Gore case."



A lot of people, including Joe Biden, the Democratic Party nominee, have misconceived the nature of the threat.  They frame it as a concern, unthinkable for presidents past, that Trump might refuse to vacate the Oval Office if he loses.  They generally conclude, as Biden has, that in that event the proper authorities "will escort him from the White House with great dispatch."



The worst case, however, is not that Trump rejects the election outcome.  The worst case is that he uses his power to prevent a decisive outcome against him.  If Trump sheds all restraint, and if his Republican allies play the parts he assigns them, he could obstruct the emergence of a legally unambiguous victory for Biden in the Electoral College and then in Congress.  He could prevent the formation of consensus about whether there is any outcome at all.  He could seize on that uncertainty to hold on to power.


-30-

Tuesday, September 22, 2020

spoons are so brutal

 



Picks up 6 utensils.  "One of these will work" sticks 3 of them in the pan.  It's hilarious.

~ Reader Comment on Paris Hilton cooking review in Guardian


     There is such a thing as "British humor" but when I read UK Commenters on the Internet it's more just the style of expression that captures my attention and fascinates.  

     I haven't worked my way up to their style of humor ("humour") yet; I'm still on words and phrases and spellings that are different from how we do it here in the U.S.A.


Over there "across the pond" --


Humor is spelled humour

A rumor is a rumour (Like Fleetwood Mac's Rumours)

If we are honorable here, when we go to England we will be honourable.


Then there's the "s" vs. "z" policy difference:


If we realize truths about civilization in America, when we go to UK, we will realise truths about civilisation.


     They put Mr. and Mrs. and Dr. without the period:

Mr Bailey

Mrs Jagger

Dr Zhivago


     I enjoy their use of the word "then" at the end of a sentence when their meaning is lightly humorous -- when one reader commented desperately that silly reality shows indicate "the end of civilisation," another answered, "Perfect time for the Last Supper then."  You would say this with a cheerful, jaunty attitude.


     The commenter who wrote, "I give up...let's get rid of electricity and start again."

     I think in the U.S. we would say "start over" instead of "start again."


     Why do they spell "program" --

"programme"?


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Other Reader Comments:


-------- The sole purpose of this piece is that if anyone asks me whether I saw Paris Hilton lasagna video on YouTube, I can say "Of course not, but I read about it in The Guardian"...


------- But this is the most comical article and video I have seen since years!  Thanks so much Stuart for this amazing article! (did I say amazing?).  And being Italian and knowing well what lasagna should be (or even just look like...), believe me it is even more exhilarating.  A masterpiece.

P.S.  I would like to suggest her to prepare the Parmigiana next time, that would be another comic hit.


------- haha, brilliant!  Got to watch this now, if only to know what she does with the salt...


---------- I fear for humanity.


------------ Words are not enough.  Pure poetry.


------- Ricotta cheese in lasagna, fucking American's have lost the run of themselves.

And the way they say it too, 'ricoetoe'.  Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh


----------- As she drives off in her vee-hick-ull...


------------ And adds some urbs to the sauce, aregguno for example...


--------- Ahh, the old "making fun of the way people from different places say things" brand of 'humor.'  Real Adam Sandler laughs, straight from the UK.  If I only had a dollar for every time you people went on a rant about the word soccer...


--------------- Humor?


---------- Wow, making fun of foreigners and the way they speak.


-------- Watched about 3 minutes, felt like 15 - not the slightest bit amusing, let alone hilarious.  Why is the Guardian giving this waste of space publicity?


------- I was grateful to have it.  I am so depressed at the state of the environment and the world Paris cheered me up, that's how desperate I am!!


----------- Seeing her & Nicole Ritchie calling bizarre situations in the deep mid-West "hotttt" was equally as funny!


[end of Reader Comments]

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     I never saw "The Simple Life" -- I didn't know they went around pronouncing things "hot."

     That does sound funny.


     Better yet, is this veddy-literate British reader calling the American Midwest -- "the deep mid-West" and no one saying anything!  Hahaha.  There is a "Deep South."  There is no

"deep mid-West."


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